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190 points erwinmatijsen | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.202s | source
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arowthway ◴[] No.45113659[source]
This is super cool but the ending is bizarre.

> A comment on the YouTube video below complained, “Not a word about return on investment in the presentation. That means it’ll never pay off” MAGAlomaniacs are everywhere these days.

Given the supposed 50+ year lifespan of such a battery, I find it hard to believe it doesn't turn a profit at some point. And I understand that debunking low-effort accusations is asymmetric warfare. But why cite a random YouTube comment if you have no intention of addressing its claims? A more charitable interpretation is that it's meant to ragebait the readers. But to me, it seems like trying to make people feel ashamed for having doubts, by making a public example of a skeptic.

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ta1243 ◴[] No.45113894[source]
People nowadays expect 10% return on their investment, so if you invest 1m you need to make 100k a year from it (120k to cover the deprecation over 50 years)

If you made 30k a year for 50 years you'd return 1.5m from your 1m investment, but you're only making 3%, which is a low return especially given the future risk (you'd have to run for 33 years just to get your initial investment back)

Either way it's worthwhile, because the reason people expect 10% is because the externalities are borne by others. Majority of people and countries in the world do not deem ROI to be the sole or even primary driver for investment, and judging investments only on the immediate financial reward already biases the conversation

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Avamander ◴[] No.45114006[source]
> Majority of people and countries in the world do not deem ROI to be the sole or even primary driver for investment

It's partially that, other part is that we aren't really pricing in all the externalities of everything out there. So it's not that "there's no ROI", it's that "we aren't factoring things in the ROI calculation".

So while a heat battery might not make a huge profit, the ability to burn less fuel (less air pollution, less waste, etc), to offer redundancy and stability, the know-how and work it creates, that is all valuable as well.

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hliyan ◴[] No.45114729[source]
Externalities can (and should) be priced in by taxes that offest negative externalities (e.g. carbon emissions, pollution). Unfortunately, legislative bodies that have to decide on taxes have a much cozier relationship with industry than they do with those who must endure the effects of negative externalities (the general population).
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1. ta1243 ◴[] No.45126125[source]
Put a carbon tax on fuel in a western country and you end up with an unhappy population who pay more money in tax. Personally I'd distribute the revenue as a UBI which would mean the most polluting would be worse off but the average person would be better off.

The people who would mostly benefit from reduction in emissions - especially in the short term - are those in other countries. It's not going to be Finland suffering the most from doubling of the cost of food from failed harvests, it's going to be massive failures in rice harvests in south east asia. Finns will always be able to outcompete the average Cambodian when buying food.

One of the costs of emissions to western countries - say Spain - is increased bad weather - more frequent storms, fires etc. All fairly small stuff compared with mass starvation or water shortages though. That starvation leads to another problem -- increased migration pressure.

But those costs are going to be borne anyway. Even if Spain stopped emitting CO2, it wouldn't make an ounce of difference. International agreements have failed time after time to curb emissions.

The main benefit of renewable energy for a given country isn't the reduction in emissions, it's the increase in energy independence - no need to import gas or oil from unstable countries.