←back to thread

Anthropic raises $13B Series F

(www.anthropic.com)
585 points meetpateltech | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.406s | source
Show context
jdoliner ◴[] No.45105172[source]
Every round Anthropic raises twists the knife deeper in SBF. If only he could have survived the downturn his Antropic investment alone probably could have papered over the other loses.
replies(11): >>45105195 #>>45105238 #>>45105292 #>>45105321 #>>45105362 #>>45105437 #>>45105457 #>>45105972 #>>45106292 #>>45106294 #>>45108286 #
stravant ◴[] No.45105362[source]
That assumes he would have stopped with the shenanigans, which is a pretty big if.
replies(1): >>45105587 #
Symmetry ◴[] No.45105587[source]
Proudly proclaiming on the Conversations With Tyler podcast that given a double or nothing bet with a 51% chance of success he'd keep playing forever.
replies(3): >>45105755 #>>45106147 #>>45108472 #
twostorytower ◴[] No.45108472[source]
Isn't that just the right thing to do, statistically? Vegas has been operating profitably this way for decades.
replies(2): >>45109201 #>>45109647 #
1. roncesvalles ◴[] No.45109647[source]
It's not the same due to the Law of Large Numbers. The risk involved in many small 51% bets is very different from the risk in a single all-or-nothing 51% bet.
replies(1): >>45113119 #
2. lelanthran ◴[] No.45113119[source]
> The risk involved in many small 51% bets is very different from the risk in a single all-or-nothing 51% bet.

Right, but parent didn't say anything about an all-in bet, just double-or-nothing on a positive EV bet.

Frankly, I'd repeatedly bet on a positive EV bet too; it's a guaranteed win if you're allowed to go on for as long as you want to.