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86 points bookofjoe | 27 comments | | HN request time: 0.202s | source | bottom
1. galacticaactual ◴[] No.45078290[source]
Ironic that everyone talking shit about "building killing machines" probably also has Ukraine flags next to their PFPs. How you think Ukraine fighting their war right now fam - with sticks and bottle rockets?
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2. kg ◴[] No.45078327[source]
Some people really sincerely do believe in pacifism. That doesn't seem misaligned with 'the victim of an immoral war should win'.

One can also believe multiple things at the same time, like:

* Waging war is immoral

* If someone wages war on you, it's acceptable to defend yourself instead of allow them to kill you

* Enabling war for personal profit (by selling weapons) is immoral

* Making weapons for self-defense is acceptable

i.e. during WW2, many countries repurposed existing industry in order to build all the weapons that were needed to win the war. That's a very different thing from spinning up a new startup with the stated goal of making weapons to sell for money. You can personally think it's okay but it seems totally reasonable to me that someone would believe "weapons should not be manufactured for personal profit the way we manufacture toys or food".

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3. galacticaactual ◴[] No.45078505[source]
Cool. How should they be manufactured? You know. For the self defense in the immoral war you mention.
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4. bigyabai ◴[] No.45078744[source]
You know, America had to coerce Ukraine into disarmament in 1994 because they had too many killing machines. You'd be surprised how quickly national defense becomes a touchy subject, on both sides of the aisle.

America has, for decades, has been trying to bilk Ukraine into forgoing free Soviet surplus to buy NATO-standardized equipment, only to remotely disable their material while they're using it. Because America was so fickle in providing defense, we've guaranteed that all future peace treaties (eg. one in Ukraine) necessitates direct American intervention, and not vague "security" agreements. That's probably why Trump is brooding over his options right now instead of arranging a ceasefire - he can't get peace without trading away something absurd like US naval assets or direct satellite intel.

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5. galacticaactual ◴[] No.45078807[source]
Okay. Russia drone go boom in Ukraine. Ukraine have no drone. How get drone.
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6. dotnet00 ◴[] No.45078822{3}[source]
Try reading the last bit
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7. bigyabai ◴[] No.45078851{3}[source]
I just explained it to you and you ignored my comment. Here is a simplification if it helps:

1991-1994: They nuke Moscow.

1994-present day: American strategic deterrence takes over.

If any part of that is unclear to you then I urge that you reread the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances and return to the discussion with the rest of the context.

Anduril does not manufacture strategic deterrents. If you think they're the solution to the Budapest Memorandum then you're the sort of armchair YouTube General that the Army filters out in officer school. It's not hard to understand, anyone can Google the difference between strategy and tactics.

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8. galacticaactual ◴[] No.45078854{4}[source]
So you want a bombed out shell of a country to repurpose a destroyed industrial base and ramp up manufacturing for a technology it has no history of producing. Very logical.
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9. galacticaactual ◴[] No.45078870{4}[source]
Excellent. So following your own logic Anduril - and similar - are a necessity to provide hardware for said deterrence. Glad we sorted that out.

Edit: oh I see, you only support strategic deterrence which equates to “standby until we have to nuke them.”

10. pseudo0 ◴[] No.45078989{4}[source]
Ukraine keeping the nukes was never going to happen. The US, EU, and Russia were all in agreement on that. Ukraine was in shambles at the time, and no one wanted the risk of nukes getting transferred or sold outside of the existing nuclear club.

Ukraine had physical possession of the nukes, but their ability to actually use them was highly suspect. They might have been able to circumvent the security measures given enough time, but if anything such an attempt would have sparked an international "peacekeeping operation" to make sure the nukes didn't fall into the wrong hands.

https://cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/budapest-memorandum-myth...

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11. XorNot ◴[] No.45079340{5}[source]
To some extent Ukraine has also given people are very distorted impression of what a modern war in other contexts would look like, adding an unhelpful data point to the other outdated one which is WW2.

WW2 was probably the last time you could fight a war, and do things like convert your local industry to produce weapons and tanks that were relevant. And even then, it only really happened because the US mainland was not contested territory during the conflict - it had the luxury of choosing when to enter the war.

Ukraine is simply not a "normal" looking modern conventional war. Both sides have receiving significant external imports which are various reasons are mostly untouchable by kinetic strikes till they cross the relevant borders (in this way it is much more like Vietnam in logistical respects). So you see assumptions like "mass production of drones will be key to the future!" in a context where the bulk of the critical components - microprocessors, cameras etc. - are not produced in the countries in conflict, and are imported from factories which are in no danger of ever being directly targeted.

So cheap mass producable systems have held the line in areas, but they're obviously drop ins for something you'd prefer to use instead - i.e. artillery - but there's a shortage of that. But conversely they haven't moved the line in a lot of areas - some of the biggest strikes of the war have been from conventional exploitation of defensive failures - i.e. the Kharkiv breakthrough, or from espionage operations which might be notable for using a lot of drones but the real accomplishment was getting them in position and the real success was still very typical: Operation Spidersweb taking out a large number of Russian long range strategic bombers.

Now people will point to the latter and say "see! strategic bombers are useless!" ... and yet that can hardly be true if a substantial operation to destroy strategic bombers was worth doing. A system being vulnerable in a way it previously wasn't does not make it ineffective (i.e. if strategic bombers at airfields intact would endanger the Ukranian position, then they're still an obviously necessary system, but they now need better protection then they had - or Russian counter-espionage just sucks).

12. wildzzz ◴[] No.45079816[source]
I work in the defense industry. I have a personal philosophy that I will never work on a platform that could be used to directly or even indirectly harm an individual person (like a fighter jet radar system). So far I've been able to stick to it. While I do think offensive weapons are a necessary part of life in these times, I don't want any of my work going towards building them. Of course some of the profit I help my company make likely goes towards developing new offensive weapons, my taxes will always fund my government's purchase and use of these weapons no matter who I work for.
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13. rasz ◴[] No.45080125[source]
Ukraine fights off aggressor.

Ukraine doesnt use Anduril drones, maybe with the exception of some PR contracts.

Anduril seems to be all about killing brown people forcing themselves over the border to "eat the cats".

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14. galacticaactual ◴[] No.45080181[source]
> Ukraine fights off aggressor.

Using what, Field Marshal?

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15. galacticaactual ◴[] No.45080398[source]
A luxurious position bred of first world arrogance.
16. torginus ◴[] No.45081250{3}[source]
Mostly old Soviet stock, decades old Western surplus, and homegrown drones made from mostly Chinese parts.
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17. elliotto ◴[] No.45081265[source]
There's perhaps another war going on right now that's a bit less popular, and a lot more profitable, that these guys are making bank on. I hope you sleep well knowing you support this team
18. KineticLensman ◴[] No.45081909[source]
But if you are working on enablers (comms, logistics, sensors, trainers, etc, etc) you are still supporting the overall kill chain.
19. TiredOfLife ◴[] No.45082724[source]
No. Those talking about "building killing machines" support russia because it fights agains imerialism or other stupid shit like that
20. ◴[] No.45083650[source]
21. galacticaactual ◴[] No.45083988{4}[source]
I’m sure that will keep the Russians at bay.
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22. tastyface ◴[] No.45084123[source]
This company was founded by a MAGA psycho in the neo-fascist Thiel circle, and you can be sure that their technology will be used domestically as soon as it’s politically viable.
23. ◴[] No.45084692[source]
24. HighGoldstein ◴[] No.45084891{5}[source]
Given the policies of the current US administration, neither will Anduril.
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25. galacticaactual ◴[] No.45087683{6}[source]
Irrelevant to core discussion.
26. torginus ◴[] No.45090311{5}[source]
Not sure what you're getting at, but it has been quite successful at that so far.
27. bigyabai ◴[] No.45094748{5}[source]
Well, for all the wanting of nonproliferation it didn't stop Pakistan or India. I never saw any peacekeeping operations from China or Russia when either of them went nuclear.

If Ukraine had the physics package, why couldn't they deploy it? Barring launch codes from the Kremlin, there's still enriched uranium in the warhead that you can turn into a simpler one-stage bomb. I doubt they could have gone thermonuclear, but simply leveraging the ICBMs and fissile material seems well within Ukraine's wheelhouse.