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416 points floverfelt | 4 comments | | HN request time: 0.348s | source
1. rancar2 ◴[] No.45056182[source]
My favorite quote to borrow: “Furthermore I think anyone who says they know what this future will be is talking from an inappropriate orifice.”
replies(3): >>45056301 #>>45056365 #>>45056717 #
2. koolba ◴[] No.45056301[source]
Reminds me of the classic Yogi Berra, “It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future”.
3. th0ma5 ◴[] No.45056365[source]
To me, it is more specific to say that many futurists don't take into account the social and economic network effects of changes taking place. Many just act as if the future will continue on completely unchallenged in this current state. But if you look at someone like Kurzweil, you can see the very narrow and specific focus of a prediction, which has proved to be more informative to me as a high bar of futurism.
4. Towaway69 ◴[] No.45056717[source]
Predicting the future isn't about being correct tomorrow, rather it’s about selling something to someone today.

An insight I picked up along the way…