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378 points todsacerdoti | 13 comments | | HN request time: 1.024s | source | bottom
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aeon_ai ◴[] No.44984252[source]
AI is a change management problem.

Using it well requires a competent team, working together with trust and transparency, to build processes that are designed to effectively balance human guidance/expertise with what LLM's are good at. Small teams are doing very big things with it.

Most organizations, especially large organizations, are so far away from a healthy culture that AI is amplifying the impact of that toxicity.

Executives who interpret "Story Points" as "how much time is that going to take" are asking why everything isn't half a point now. They're so far removed from the process of building maintainable and effective software that they're simply looking for AI to serve as a simple pass through to the bottom line.

The recent study showing that 95% of AI pilots failed to deliver ROI is a case study in the ineffectiveness of modern management to actually do their jobs.

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grey-area ◴[] No.44984371[source]
Or maybe it's just not as good as it's been sold to be. I haven't seen any small teams doing very big things with it, which ones are you thinking of?
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sim7c00 ◴[] No.44984398[source]
you are not wrong. the only 'sane' approaches ive seen with vibe coding is making a PoC to see if some concept works. then rewrite it entirely to make sure its sound.

besides just weird or broken code, anything exposed to user input is usually severly lacking sanity checks etc.

llms are not useless for coding. but imho letting llms do the coding will not yield production grade code.

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bbarnett ◴[] No.44984665[source]
Koko the gorilla understood language, but most others of her ilk simlpy make signs because a thing will happen.

Move hand this way and a human will give a banana.

LLMs have no understanding at all of the underlying language, they've just seen that a billion times a task looks like such and such, so have these tokens after them.

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1. SirHumphrey ◴[] No.44984791[source]
What does it matter if they have understanding of the underlying language or not? Heck, do humans even have the "understanding of the underlying language". What does that even mean?

It's a model. It either predicts usefully or not. How it works is mostly irrelevant.

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2. Piskvorrr ◴[] No.44985306[source]
In which case...what good is a model that predicts semi-randomly? Oh.

("But it works - when it works" is a tautology, not a useful model)

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3. anuramat ◴[] No.44985612[source]
What does "semi-random" even mean? Are humans not "semi-random" in the same sense?
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4. ◴[] No.44985633{3}[source]
5. anuramat ◴[] No.44985689[source]
Nobody knows what intelligence is, yet somehow everyone has a strong opinion on what it isn't; after all, how could piecewise affine transformations/markov chains/differential equations EVER do X?
6. sim7c00 ◴[] No.44985840[source]
interesting take. i dont know a lot about grammarz yet in my own language i can speak fairly ok...

all i know about these LLMs is that even if they understand language or can create it, they know nothing of the subjects they speak of.

copilot told me to cast an int to str to get rid of an error.

thanks copilot, it was on kernel code.

glad i didnt do it :/. just closed browser and opened man pages. i get nowhere with these things. it feels u need to understand so much its likely less typing to write the code. code is concise and clear after all, mostly unambiguous. language on the other hand...

i do like it as a bit of a glorified google, but looking at what code it outputs my confidence it its findings lessens every prompt

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7. ryandrake ◴[] No.44986116[source]
I think that more often than we'd like to admit, we humans are also just not thinking that much about or understanding what we are communicating, and just outputting the statistically most likely next word over and over.
8. shagmin ◴[] No.44987421[source]
Defining what that means exactly is one endeavor. But it's important to the how, because whatever it may mean implies a drastically limited set of capabilities, a ceiling, etc., compared to whatever it may mean - if it weren't the case.
9. cstoner ◴[] No.44989383[source]
> all i know about these LLMs is that even if they understand language or can create it, they know nothing of the subjects they speak of.

As a recent example of this, I was recently curious about how the heart gets the oxygen depleted blood back to the heart. Pumping blood out made sense to me, but the return path was less obvious.

So I asked chatgpt whether the heart sucks in the blood from veins.

It told me that the heart does not suck in the blood, it creates a negative pressure zone that causes the blood to flow into it ... :facepalm:

Sure, my language was non-technical/imprecise, but I bet if I asked a cardiologist about this they would have said something like "That's not the language I would have used, but basically."

I don't know why, but lately I've been getting a lot of cases where these models contradicts themself even within the same response. I'm working out a lot (debating a triathlon) and it told me to swim and do upper body weight lifting on the same day to "avoid working out the same muscle group in the same day". Similarly it told me to run and do leg workouts on the same day.

> i do like it as a bit of a glorified google, but looking at what code it outputs my confidence it its findings lessens every prompt

I'm having the exact same reaction. I'm finding they are still more useful than google, even with an error rate close to 70%, but I am quickly learning that you can't trust anything they output and should double check everything.

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10. ◴[] No.44994892{3}[source]
11. hattmall ◴[] No.45001750{3}[source]
AI is impressive for a subject you know nothing about. If you ask it what you already know it becomes far less impressive.
12. grey-area ◴[] No.45001767[source]
Without understanding you can’t have creativity or fix mistakes. It matters a lot.
13. sim7c00 ◴[] No.45011299{3}[source]
it seems more looping possible answers, just going back to same bad answers hoping you forgot you gave it. we're training incredibly expensive and eloquent goldfish.

maybe this is the effect of the LLMs interacting with eachother, the dumbing down. gpt-6 will be a markov chain again and gpt-7 will know that f!sh go m00!