95% of Companies See 'Zero Return' on $30B Generative AI Spend

Full disclosure: I'm currently in a leadership role on an AI engineering team, so it's in my best interest for AI to be perceived as driving value.

Here's a relatively straightforward application of AI that is set to save my company millions of dollars annually.

We operate large call centers, and agents were previously spending 3-5 minutes after each call writing manual summaries of the calls.

We recently switched to using AI to transcribe and write these summaries. Not only are the summaries better than those produced by our human agents, they also free up the human agents to do higher-value work.

It's not sexy. It's not going to replace anyone's job. But it's a huge, measurable efficiency gain.

That’s the thing. There’s value in AI, it’s just not worth half a trillion dollars to train a new model that’s 0.4% better on benchmarks. Meta is never going to get a worthwhile return on spending $100M on individual engineers.

But that doesn’t mean AI is without its uses. We’re just in that painful phase where the hype needs to die down and we treat LLMs as what they really are; an interesting new tool in the toolkit that provides some new ways to solve problems. It’s almost certainly not going to turn into AGI any time soon. It’s not worth trillions. It’s certainly worth something, though.

I think the financials on developing new frontier models are terrible. But I’ve already built multiple AI projects for my company that are making money and we’ve got extremely happy customers.

Investors thought one company was going to win the AI Wars and make a quadrillion dollars. Instead it’s probably going to be 10,000 startups that will build interesting products based on AI, and training new models won’t actually be a good financial move.

Could you broadly describe the AI projects you have built?