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95% of Companies See 'Zero Return' on $30B Generative AI Spend

(thedailyadda.com)
418 points speckx | 1 comments | 21 Aug 25 15:36 UTC | HN request time: 0s | source
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JCM9 ◴[21 Aug 25 16:22 UTC] No.44974621[source]▶
We are entering the “Trough of disillusionment.” These hype cycles are very predictable. GPT-5 being panned as a disappointment after endless hype may go down as GenAI’s “jump the shark” moment.

It’s all fun and games until the bean counters start asking for evidence of return on investment. GenAI folks better buckle up. Bumps ahead. The smart folks are already quietly preparing for a shift to ride the next hype wave up while others ride this train to the trough’s bottom.

Cue a bunch of increasingly desperate puff PR trying to show this stuff returns value.

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1. no_wizard ◴[21 Aug 25 16:38 UTC] No.44974830[source]▶
Gemini keeps being rather impressive though, even their iterative updates have improvements, though I'm seeing a significant slowdown in the improvements (both quantity and in how much they improve) suggestion a wall may be approaching.

That said, technologies like this can also go through a rollercoaster pattern itself. Lots of innovation and improvement, followed by very little improvement but lots of research, which then explodes more improvements.

I think LLMs have a better chance at following that pattern than computer vision did when that hype cycle was all the rage