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Win, lose, or draw: trends in English football match results

(blog.engora.com)
37 points Vermin2000 | 3 comments | 11 Jul 25 17:23 UTC | HN request time: 0.706s | source
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OneFriend2575 ◴[15 Jul 25 13:02 UTC] No.44570694[source]▶
The sharp drop in Premier League draws after 1993 clearly lines up with increasing club inequality, something most fans feel but isn't always backed by data.

It raises an important question: is competitive balance worse for business? Fans love unpredictability, but money seems to be concentrating power.

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mrkramer ◴[15 Jul 25 13:34 UTC] No.44570999[source]▶
Few months ago I was watching Bernie Ecclestone and Max Mosley interviews and they said that in F1 there should be a cap on how much teams are allowed to spend because Mercedes always wins....but in football there are no such thoughts and limits and that's why Manchester City and PSG rose so hard in the last 10 years. If you pump billions of dollars into any business, you will more likely win than not win, just look at TikTok, they pumped billions into advertising and user-acqisition and now they rule on mobile.
replies(1): >>44571554 #
dylan604 ◴[15 Jul 25 14:32 UTC] No.44571554[source]▶
There absolutely are limits on how much can be spent. That’s why Man City is under investigation of 100+ charges for violating FFP, financial fair play, rules.

Even the Yankees were deemed unbeatable because the power of their checkbook, yet they haven’t won the World Series since 2009 (according to quick search. I don’t follow baseball). So the big purse isn’t always the thing people make it to be. Sure it helps, but no guarantees. Otherwise, moneyball wouldn’t have been a thing

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mrkramer ◴[15 Jul 25 15:52 UTC] No.44572438[source]▶
>There absolutely are limits on how much can be spent. That’s why Man City is under investigation of 100+ charges for violating FFP, financial fair play, rules.

They are under investigation posteriori, they should've been stopped apriori acquiring top players for large sums of money.

replies(1): >>44574154 #
1. dylan604 ◴[15 Jul 25 18:10 UTC] No.44574154[source]▶
I do not accept that premise at all. You make it sound like they discovered it was wrong after the fact rather than knowing the rules before making the decision. That's some serious white washing
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2. mrkramer ◴[15 Jul 25 21:02 UTC] No.44575781[source]▶
My intention was preventing the abuse of financial power e.g. put price controls on player acquisitions so Manchester City or PSG are not allowed to pay €100M for a new player while other clubs can't afford top players or rising stars. It would disturb the football industry at first but you can make that policy dynamic or in another words limits change as the macro climate in the football industry changes.
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3. dylan604 ◴[15 Jul 25 23:33 UTC] No.44577045[source]▶
Isn't that what MLS does, and isn't MLS the league exactly nobody watches? Well, okay, maybe not nobody, but yeah.