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Win, lose, or draw: trends in English football match results

(blog.engora.com)
37 points Vermin2000 | 1 comments | 11 Jul 25 17:23 UTC | HN request time: 0.213s | source
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h46u5jytyhtg ◴[15 Jul 25 12:52 UTC] No.44570621[source]▶
I completely disagree with the premise of the article that draws are most boring and the wider the score difference the more interesting the game is.

Frequently draws are very exciting, they can make compelling viewing. In a game that is completely dominated by one team, there can be very little of interest.

An alternative metric would be the degree of uncertainty/jeopardy in the game. So a game that ends 1-1 has a high degree of jeopardy because at any moment a team can score and take point from the other team.

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1. tharmas ◴[15 Jul 25 16:48 UTC] No.44573187[source]▶
Agreed as well. I would say shots on target (not straight at the goalkeeper) are a good metric of an exciting game. I would also include near misses past the post and just over the bar as I don't think these are officially counted as "shots on target".

Dribbles or passing plays into the box which may not result in a shot are exciting too. For match excitement/entertainment value these should be measured also.