LLM Inevitabilism

The author seems to imply that the "framing" of an argument is done so in bad faith in order to win an argument but only provides one-line quotes where there is no contextual argument.

This tactic by the author is a straw-man argument - he's framing the position of tech leaders and our acceptance of it as the reason AI exists, instead of being honest, which is that they were simply right in their predictions: AI was inevitable.

The IT industry is full of pride and arrogance. We deny the power of AI and LLMs. I think that's fair, I welcome the pushback. But the real word the IT crowd needs to learn is "denialism" - if you still don't see how LLMs is changing our entire industry, you haven't been paying attention.

Edit: Lots of denialists using false dichotomy arguments that my opinion is invalid because I'm not producing examples and proof. I guess I'll just leave this: https://tools.simonwillison.net/

> LLMs is changing our entire industry,

- So far, the only ones making real money are the "shovel sellers": Nvidia, AWS, and the GPU resale hustlers. Everyone else is still trying to figure out how to turn the parrots into profit.

- Probabilistic code generators are not the dawn of a new scientific era that will propel us to the Stars. Just autocomplete on steroids, impressive, but not what will launch humanity into post-scarcity.

- So far what you have is a glorified compression algorithm. A remix of Reddit, StackOverflow, and Wikipedia...With the confidence of a TED speaker and the understanding of a parrot.

- If LLMs are truly the road to AGI, try sending one to MIT. No internet, no textbook ingestion, no Leetcode prep. Just cold start intelligence. If it graduates...we might have something....

Right now, this is just confusing correlation for cognition. Compression for comprehension. And mimicry for mastery. The revolution may come, but not the next four quarters. What it is bad news if you are VC....or Mark Zuckerberg...