←back to thread

LLM Inevitabilism

(tomrenner.com)
1611 points SwoopsFromAbove | 1 comments | 15 Jul 25 04:35 UTC | HN request time: 0s | source
Show context
delichon ◴[15 Jul 25 04:49 UTC] No.44567913[source]▶
If in 2009 you claimed that the dominance of the smartphone was inevitable, it would have been because you were using one and understood its power, not because you were reframing away our free choice for some agenda. In 2025 I don't think you can really be taking advantage of AI to do real work and still see its mass adaptation as evitable. It's coming faster and harder than any tech in history. As scary as that is we can't wish it away.
replies(17): >>44567949 #>>44567951 #>>44567961 #>>44567992 #>>44568002 #>>44568006 #>>44568029 #>>44568031 #>>44568040 #>>44568057 #>>44568062 #>>44568090 #>>44568323 #>>44568376 #>>44568565 #>>44569900 #>>44574150 #
NBJack ◴[15 Jul 25 05:00 UTC] No.44567951[source]▶
Ironically, this is exactly the technique for arguing that the blog mentions.

Remember the revolutionary, seemingly inevitable tech that was poised to rewrite how humans thought about transportation? The incredible amounts of hype, the secretive meetings disclosing the device, etc.? That turned out to be the self-balancing scooter known as a Segway?

replies(12): >>44567966 #>>44567973 #>>44567981 #>>44567984 #>>44567993 #>>44568067 #>>44568093 #>>44568163 #>>44568336 #>>44568442 #>>44568656 #>>44569295 #
haiku2077 ◴[15 Jul 25 05:41 UTC] No.44568163[source]▶
> Remember the revolutionary, seemingly inevitable tech that was poised to rewrite how humans thought about transportation? The incredible amounts of hype, the secretive meetings disclosing the device, etc.? That turned out to be the self-balancing scooter known as a Segway?

Counterpoint: That's how I feel about ebikes and escooters right now.

Over the weekend, I needed to go to my parent's place for brunch. I put on my motorcycle gear, grabbed my motorcycle keys, went to my garage, and as I was about to pull out my BMW motorcycle (MSRP ~$17k), looked at my Ariel ebike (MSRP ~$2k) and decided to ride it instead. For short trips they're a game changing mode of transport.

replies(1): >>44568359 #
withinboredom ◴[15 Jul 25 06:18 UTC] No.44568359[source]▶
Even for longer trips if your city has the infrastructure. I moved to the Netherlands a few years ago, that infrastructure makes all the difference.
replies(1): >>44568393 #
andsoitis ◴[15 Jul 25 06:25 UTC] No.44568393[source]▶
Flatness helps
replies(4): >>44568649 #>>44568961 #>>44569334 #>>44569382 #
rightbyte ◴[15 Jul 25 09:18 UTC] No.44569382[source]▶
In flat landscapes the e in ebike is superfluous.
replies(2): >>44570265 #>>44570910 #
1. haiku2077 ◴[15 Jul 25 13:26 UTC] No.44570910{6}[source]▶
Only if your goal is to transport yourself. I use my ebike for groceries, typically I'll have the motor in the lowest power setting on the way to the store, then coming back with cargo I'll have the motor turned up. I can bring back heavy bulk items that would have been painful with a pedal bike.