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LLM Inevitabilism

(tomrenner.com)
1613 points SwoopsFromAbove | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.856s | source
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mg ◴[] No.44568158[source]
In the 90s a friend told me about the internet. And that he knows someone who is in a university and has access to it and can show us. An hour later, we were sitting in front of a computer in that university and watched his friend surfing the web. Clicking on links, receiving pages of text. Faster than one could read. In a nice layout. Even with images. And links to other pages. We were shocked. No printing, no shipping, no waiting. This was the future. It was inevitable.

Yesterday I wanted to rewrite a program to use a large library that would have required me to dive deep down into the documentation or read its code to tackle my use case. As a first try, I just copy+pasted the whole library and my whole program into GPT 4.1 and told it to rewrite it using the library. It succeeded at the first attempt. The rewrite itself was small enough that I could read all code changes in 15 minutes and make a few stylistic changes. Done. Hours of time saved. This is the future. It is inevitable.

PS: Most replies seem to compare my experience to experiences that the responders have with agentic coding, where the developer is iteratively changing the code by chatting with an LLM. I am not doing that. I use a "One prompt one file. No code edits." approach, which I describe here:

https://www.gibney.org/prompt_coding

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AndyKelley ◴[] No.44568699[source]
You speak with a passive voice, as if the future is something that happens to you, rather than something that you participate in.
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stillpointlab ◴[] No.44568842[source]
There is an old cliché about stopping the tide coming in. I mean, yeah you can get out there and participate in trying to stop it.

This isn't about fatalism or even pessimism. The tide coming in isn't good or bad. It's more like the refrain from Game of Thrones: Winter is coming. You prepare for it. Your time might be better served finding shelter and warm clothing rather than engaging in a futile attempt to prevent it.

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FeepingCreature ◴[] No.44568942[source]
Reminder that the Dutch exist.
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stillpointlab ◴[] No.44569000[source]
They're not stopping the tide, they are preparing for it - as I suggested. The tide is still happening, it just isn't causing the flooding.

So in that sense we agree. Let's be like he Dutch. Let's realize the coming tide and build defenses against it.

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FeepingCreature ◴[] No.44569176[source]
They are kinda literally stopping the tide coming in though. They're preparing for it by blocking it off completely.

That is a thing that humans can do if they want it enough.

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1. stillpointlab ◴[] No.44569576[source]
As the other commenter noted, you are simply wrong about that. We control the effects the tide has on us, not the tide itself.

But let me offer you a false dichotomy for the purposes of argument:

1. You spend your efforts preventing the emergence of AI

2. You spend your efforts creating conditions for the harmonious co-existence of AI and humanity

It's your choice.

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2. FeepingCreature ◴[] No.44580210[source]
As things stand, 2 is impossible without 1. There simply is not enough time to figure out safe coexistence. These are not projects of equal difficulty- 1 is enormously easier than 2. And 1 is still a global effort!