But if you told them about social media, I think the story would be different. Some would think it would be great, some would see it as dystopian, but neither would be right.
We don't have to imagine, though. All three of these things have captured people's imaginations since before the 50's. It's just... AI has always been closer to imagined concepts of social media more than it has been to highly advanced communication devices.
It would be utopian, like how people thought of social media in the oughts. It's a common pattern through human history. People lack the imagination to think of unintended side effects. Nuclear physics leading to nuclear weapons. Trains leading to more efficient genocide. Media distribution and printing press leading to new types of propaganda and autocracies. Oil leading to global warming. IT leading to easy surveillance. Communism leading to famine.
Some of that utopianism is wilful, created by the people with a self-interested motive in seeing that narrative become dominant. But most of it is just a lack of imagination. Policymakers taking the path of local least resistance, seeking to locally (in a temporal sense) appease, avoiding high-risk high-reward policy gambits that do not advance their local political ambitions. People being satisfied with easy just-so stories rather than humility and a recognition of the complexity and inherent uncertainty of reality.
AI, and especially ASI, will probably be the same. The material upsides are obvious. The downsides harder to imagine and more speculative. Most likely, society will be presented with a fait accompli at a future date, where once the downsides are crystallized and real, it's already too late.
> It would be utopian
London Times, The Naked Sun, Neuromancer, The Sockwave Rider, Stand on Zanzibar, or The Machine Stops. These all have varying degrees of ideas that would remind you of social media today.
Are they all utopian?
You're right, the downsides are harder to imagine. Yet, it has been done. I'd also argue that it is the duty of any engineer. It is so easy to make weapons of destruction while getting caught up in the potential benefits and the interesting problems being solved. Evil is not solely created by evil. Often, evil is created by good men trying to do good. If only doing good was easy, then we'd have so much more good. But we're human. We chose to be engineers, to take on these problems. To take on challenging tasks. We like to gloat about how smart we are? (We all do, let's admit it. I'm not going to deny it) But I'll just leave with a quote: "We choose to go to the Moon in this decade and do the other things not because they are easy, but because they are hard"