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LLM Inevitabilism

(tomrenner.com)
1619 points SwoopsFromAbove | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.284s | source
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delichon ◴[] No.44567913[source]
If in 2009 you claimed that the dominance of the smartphone was inevitable, it would have been because you were using one and understood its power, not because you were reframing away our free choice for some agenda. In 2025 I don't think you can really be taking advantage of AI to do real work and still see its mass adaptation as evitable. It's coming faster and harder than any tech in history. As scary as that is we can't wish it away.
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NBJack ◴[] No.44567951[source]
Ironically, this is exactly the technique for arguing that the blog mentions.

Remember the revolutionary, seemingly inevitable tech that was poised to rewrite how humans thought about transportation? The incredible amounts of hype, the secretive meetings disclosing the device, etc.? That turned out to be the self-balancing scooter known as a Segway?

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HPsquared ◴[] No.44567966[source]
1. The Segway had very low market penetration but a lot of PR. LLMs and diffusion models have had massive organic growth.

2. Segways were just ahead of their time: portable lithium-ion powered urban personal transportation is getting pretty big now.

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1. DonHopkins ◴[] No.44568101[source]
That's funny, I remember seeing "IT" penetrate Mr. Garrison.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SK362RLHXGY

Hey, it still beats what you go through at the airports.