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    502 points alazsengul | 11 comments | | HN request time: 1.154s | source | bottom
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    pm90 ◴[] No.44564397[source]
    I think the amount of turmoil around these deals is giving more weight to the possibility that we’re in a massive bubble thats quite divorced from any kind of fundamentals. Sooner or later the bubbles gonna burst.
    replies(13): >>44564436 #>>44564444 #>>44564507 #>>44564837 #>>44564856 #>>44564871 #>>44565061 #>>44566422 #>>44568840 #>>44570092 #>>44570792 #>>44571345 #>>44572790 #
    meta_ai_x ◴[] No.44564507[source]
    The dot-com was a bubble because investors pulled money and belief at the first sign of trouble.

    The landscape has changed dramatically now. Investors and VCs have learnt if we stick with winners and growth companies, the payoffs are massive.

    We also have more automatic, retail and foreign money flowing into the market. Buy the dip is a phenomenon that didn't exist at the scale it is now.

    Pre-2015 if Big Money pulled out, the market was guaranteed to fail, but now retailers sometimes have longer views and belief (on people like Musk, Altman) than institutions and they continue to prop it.

    So, it's foolish to apply 2000 parallels to now. Yes, history repeats, but doesn't with the exact time or price points

    replies(5): >>44564523 #>>44564640 #>>44564780 #>>44564981 #>>44565632 #
    1. asadotzler ◴[] No.44564640[source]
    It is foolish to compare to the dot com boom and bust. At least when that bubble burst we still had the global broadband internet that it built. When this bubble bursts, we'll have next to nothing to show for it.
    replies(3): >>44564691 #>>44564729 #>>44564868 #
    2. sealeck ◴[] No.44564691[source]
    We will have a mountain of GPUs!
    3. ghc ◴[] No.44564729[source]
    Nothing except massive data centers full of GPU compute resources paid for by VC money. Wait, that's actually pretty similar...
    replies(2): >>44564809 #>>44564834 #
    4. fnord77 ◴[] No.44564809[source]
    gpus go obsolete faster than fiber backbone equipment
    replies(1): >>44570687 #
    5. threetonesun ◴[] No.44564834[source]
    I'm starting to think that making a bunch of tech companies the most valuable companies on Earth, and tying their value to everyone's ability to retire so the number must always go up was perhaps not the wisest thing to have done.
    replies(1): >>44565629 #
    6. silentsea90 ◴[] No.44564868[source]
    We have AI, a marvel that might change the arc of humanity and an epoch in our timeline. Fire, wheel etc. and AI.
    replies(1): >>44565030 #
    7. namesbc ◴[] No.44565030[source]
    I'll choose the wheel over using a country's worth of electricity to parrot unusable AI slop to gullible fools.
    replies(1): >>44565736 #
    8. rightbyte ◴[] No.44565629{3}[source]
    They could close shop and you could print the money and give to the retirements fonds and everyone would be better off. Maybe Apple would be missed.
    9. silentsea90 ◴[] No.44565736{3}[source]
    Is AI not useful to you? I've sped up my SWE work significantly (10x). Not sure why the cynicism.
    replies(1): >>44574832 #
    10. ghc ◴[] No.44570687{3}[source]
    Do they? I figured each speed increase requires new optical equipment, but I guess I was just making assumptions.
    11. SJC_Hacker ◴[] No.44574832{4}[source]
    If you're just talking about SWE work, thats only one segment of an economy and is the "virtual world". But humans have to live in the real world.

    I believe the true revolution is going to be when AI can start living / interacting with the physical world. Driverless cars might be the start here.