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785 points rcchen | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.584s | source
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dalemhurley ◴[] No.44537376[source]
Cursor (and Garry Tan’s X post) has shown us that the VC money is propping up these companies astounding growth, the only way for them to become profitable is to increase the cost per a request, which means they need to innovate like crazy.

The moat is paper thin.

GitHub has open sourced copilot.

The open source community is working hard on their own projects.

No doubt Cursor is moving fast to create amazing innovations, but if the competition only focuses on thin wrappers they are not worth the billion dollar valuations.

I love watching this space as it is moving extremely fast.

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woeirua ◴[] No.44537910[source]
There is no moat. If you’re a true believer that strong agents are around the corner, then all of these add on companies will be obsolete in a few years. The first company to strong agents can trivially rebuild Cursor or Windsurf.
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herval ◴[] No.44538414[source]
If you believe AGI is around the corner, doesn’t it mean it’ll replace ALL products?
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1. kevindamm ◴[] No.44539451[source]
That would be true if the product was the goal. In my experience,

  marketing > market > product
Even with AGI in hand, there will still be competition between offerings based on externalities, inertia, or battle-testedness, or authority. Maybe super-intelligence would change the calculus of that, but you'd still probably find opportunities beyond just letting your pool of agents vibe code it.
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2. herval ◴[] No.44539615[source]
Sounds like the kind of thing Windsurf & Cursor had as their most valuable asset - mindshare and authority?