Most active commenters
  • IshKebab(3)

←back to thread

624 points xbryanx | 26 comments | | HN request time: 0.809s | source | bottom
Show context
jordanb ◴[] No.44532900[source]
I went on a deep dive on this scandal about a year or so ago. One thing that struck me is the class element.

Basically, the Post Office leadership could not understand why someone would buy a PO franchise. It's a substantial amount of money up front, and people aren't allowed to buy multiple franchises, so every PO was an owner/operator position. Essentially people were "buying a job".

The people in leadership couldn't understand why someone would buy the opportunity to work long hours at a retail position and end up hopefully clearing a middle class salary at the end of the year. They assumed that there must be a real reason why people were signing up and the real reason was to put their hands in the till.

So they ended up assuming the postmasters were stealing, and the purpose of the accounting software was to detect the fraud so it could be prosecuted. When the accounting software started finding vast amounts of missing funds, they ignored questions about the software because it was working as intended. I bet if the opposite had happened, and it found very little fraud, they would have become suspicious of the software because their priors were that the postmasters were a bunch of thieves.

replies(16): >>44532976 #>>44533020 #>>44533158 #>>44533278 #>>44533786 #>>44533975 #>>44534079 #>>44534542 #>>44535515 #>>44535532 #>>44536140 #>>44536170 #>>44536440 #>>44536933 #>>44537531 #>>44540144 #
1. njovin ◴[] No.44534079[source]
So the PO creates a franchise program that they later decide isn't suitable for any sane, good-faith actor, and instead of revising the terms of the franchise program to make it so, they assume that the participants are criminals and prosecute them?
replies(3): >>44534654 #>>44535013 #>>44535146 #
2. flir ◴[] No.44534654[source]
I see you've worked with a moribund bureaucracy before.
3. LiquidSky ◴[] No.44535013[source]
> isn't suitable for any sane, good-faith actor

I think this is the parent’s point: this is the POV of the rich and powerful who lead the organization. They can’t imagine someone in a different position seeing these franchises as a way to secure good (or at least decent), long-term, stable employment.

4. lawlessone ◴[] No.44535146[source]
The same way many think about welfare/unemployment/disability schemes.

Constant hoops to jump through to prove they're looking for work or still incapable.

Or in the case of illness to prove they're still sick. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-59067101

replies(4): >>44535605 #>>44536032 #>>44536868 #>>44537052 #
5. citizenpaul ◴[] No.44535605[source]
There is a rather famous book written on this subject.

Catch-22.

In order to be given disability you must jump through so many hoops that no one whom is actually sick could complete them. Or how in unemployment you must prove you must spend your time proving you are looking for a job so you cannot spend you time actually looking for a job. My personal fav because its almost universal is sick-day policies that codify 100% abuse of sick days because people are punished for not using them because some people were "abusing" their sick days.

In the case of the book to be discharged from military service they must prove they are insane which no insane person could complete.

replies(1): >>44535776 #
6. viciousvoxel ◴[] No.44535776{3}[source]
Minor correction, but in the book the act of asking to be discharged on account of insanity is taken as proof that one is sane, because no sane person would want to keep flying bombing missions day after day with low odds of survival.
7. IshKebab ◴[] No.44536032[source]
Yeah but in the UK there actually are lots of people claiming benefits that probably shouldn't be. Especially Personal Independent Payments.

It's enough of an issue that even Labour (left wing) is having to deal with it. Though as usual Starmer has chickened out (I think this is like the third thing that was obviously a good move that he's backed down on after dumb backlash).

replies(1): >>44536243 #
8. arranf ◴[] No.44536243{3}[source]
Can you provide sources for your claim?
replies(1): >>44536583 #
9. IshKebab ◴[] No.44536583{4}[source]
If you're looking for hard numbers on how many people shouldn't be getting them then you won't find it. Only the government has access to the details of individual claims.

However you can infer a lot from a) the insane rise in claims, especially mental health related:

https://obr.uk/docs/box-chart-3-f.png

Has the mental health of the nation got twice as bad in 2 years? Obviously not.

And b) whenever the BBC does touchy feely profiles of people there are always some weird red flags:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2gpl4528go

£400/month help with her bills because she struggles with time management? I'm sympathetic to her problems but that is a shit ton of money!

Even some of the people receiving it agree:

> "I was shocked by the ease with which it was granted. I was expecting to be interviewed, rightly so, but it was awarded without interview and he received backdated pay for the maximum amount." > > She was also surprised that her husband got mobility allowance for not having a car, even though she had a car and could drive him around.

(This reminds me of WFA where plenty of people receiving that also thought it was ridiculous.)

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cn0ry09d50wo

> Paul Harris, from Barnard Castle, gets £72.65 a week in PIP payments to help with extra costs associated with his anxiety and depression - such as for specialist therapy apps and counselling.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cn4llx4kvv8o

> Nick Howard, 51, from Cambridge, is neurodivergent and has been claiming Pip for five years. > > "Without Pip I would not be able to work as it pays for my transport to and from my workplace. > > "I'm currently buying an electric bike on credit, others I have had have been stolen or vandalised," he added.

Great... but I don't think paying PIP for 5 years is a good way to buy someone a bike.

Obviously not all cases are like this, but clearly something has gone wrong. And this isn't a partisan issue. Both parties agree that it has to change. The Tories just ignored the problem and Labour gave up after predictable "N people will die!" press.

And to be clear I'm not anti-poor or anything like that. I also thing WFA is ridiculous and that mostly goes to the rich. Child benefit also goes to lots of people (myself included) who totally don't need it. They all need reform, but look what happens when the government tries...

replies(2): >>44537505 #>>44540874 #
10. knowitnone ◴[] No.44536868[source]
there is lots of welfare fraud. if you think money should just be handed out without question then you start handing your money out first.
11. wagwang ◴[] No.44537052[source]
Well yes, you're trying to take money from other people, of course you need to prove that you need it.
replies(2): >>44537186 #>>44537452 #
12. jacksnipe ◴[] No.44537186{3}[source]
Sorry, but citation needed. Means testing might seem “obvious” from first principles, but from a policy point of view, it makes little to no sense.

The macroeconomic effects of welfare programs create a society that is better for everyone to live in. Reducing the issue to a matter of personal responsibility is a reframing that allows you to completely lose sight of the big picture, and create programs that are destined to fail by not reaching many of the people they need to.

replies(1): >>44537259 #
13. stretchwithme ◴[] No.44537259{4}[source]
Citation needed for the right to other people's money.

Government running charity interferes with the normal feedback in society. And the need to ask politely, justify one's apparently bad decisions and change failing behavior.

People become "entitled" to regular cash so a lot of the fear that ordinarily motivates the rest of us goes away.

Any system that asks nothing of people is a bad system.

I grew up on welfare. I've also seen how a lot of people on welfare actually live and how they spend their time. They don't spend it cleaning, I can tell you that.

replies(5): >>44537435 #>>44537638 #>>44538114 #>>44538256 #>>44540305 #
14. LocalH ◴[] No.44537435{5}[source]
Administration of means testing is often more expensive than doing away with the means testing.

How about UBI coupled with repealing the minimum wage?

replies(2): >>44538633 #>>44539688 #
15. h2zizzle ◴[] No.44537452{3}[source]
The general logic is that money is going to be taken from people no matter what (crime, expensive late interventions, etc.) and that relatively preventative measures are preferable because they cost less while preserving the social contract.
16. verall ◴[] No.44537505{5}[source]
Nothing sounds wrong to me in any of the cases you mentioned?

> £400/month help with her bills because she struggles with time management? I'm sympathetic to her problems but that is a shit ton of money!

£4800/yr is a shit ton of money? Things must be pretty rough over there!

> Child benefit also goes to lots of people (myself included) who totally don't need it.

Is that a bad thing?

replies(2): >>44538030 #>>44540206 #
17. tenacious_tuna ◴[] No.44537638{5}[source]
I would rather we have a system that is too generous and gets taken advantage of than one that is too parsimonious where people die for want of food and shelter that we could provide for them.

We exist in a world where people can be unable to work or even advocate for themselves through no fault of their own. As we raise the bar for how people have to prove that they "need" help, there will be people who die because they don't have the capacity to prove that. In theory we have social workers (as a societal role) but in reality they're underfunded/don't have capacity for the same reasons.

This feels like the same moral argument behind the presumption of innocence in the American legal system: far better to let criminals walk free than to falsely imprison an innocent person. Why do we not apply the same logic to welfare?

I mean, I know why: we're worried the system would get taken advantage of and not serve the people it's "meant" to help.... but then, who does it help? How much effort is it worth making people spend to prove they need help when that effort comes with a blood cost?

I agree with GP that welfare systems make for better societies--see also, public healthcare. I have several friends who are alive because of welfare systems. I grew up with people whose family squandered the welfare they got, but I don't view that as sufficient reason to withhold welfare from anyone else; I just accept that's the cost of a system that helps people.

replies(1): >>44538866 #
18. iamstupidsimple ◴[] No.44538030{6}[source]
> £4800/yr is a shit ton of money? Things must be pretty rough over there!

For the average person in the UK, it definitely is.

19. standardUser ◴[] No.44538114{5}[source]
> Any system that asks nothing of people is a bad system.

Ok bro, while you're out there building morally pure systems the rest of us will do research and learn what actually works in the real world.

20. duk3luk3 ◴[] No.44538256{5}[source]
> a lot of the fear that ordinarily motivates the rest of us

No, that seems like mostly you. Most people are not motivated by fear.

21. justusthane ◴[] No.44538633{6}[source]
That’s my soapbox — I think that’s the only feasible hope for the future, taking into account increased efficiency, fewer jobs, and higher corporate profits. UBI funded by higher corporate taxes.

I just don’t see any realistic way to make it actually happen.

22. MBCook ◴[] No.44538866{6}[source]
Yep. Better to catch $1m in fraud by spending $20m than to spend $10m helping people with a possibility of $2m in fraud.

It makes no economic sense. It’s not more humane/helpful. But it’s what we ‘choose’ over and over.

23. dataflow ◴[] No.44539688{6}[source]
> Administration of means testing is often more expensive than doing away with the means testing. How about UBI coupled with repealing the minimum wage?

Er... why wouldn't UBI be more expensive?

I'm not even arguing against UBI here, I'm just trying to make sense of your claim, which seems quite dubious.

24. IshKebab ◴[] No.44540206{6}[source]
> £4800/yr is a shit ton of money

It's a shit ton of money for the government to just pay to people. I wasn't saying it's enough money to live on or anything. Obviously.

> Is that a bad thing?

The government is just a little short on money and they're wasting it by giving WFA and child benefit to people who definitely don't need it.

This should be obvious.

25. soraminazuki ◴[] No.44540305{5}[source]
Citation needed that your neoliberal views are anything other than bad faith voodoo economics. We have decades' worth of proof that it's toxic for society, both politically and economically. Your whole talking point is an excuse for the ultra rich to get even richer through mass exploitation, which ironically is the embodiment of entitlement that you're so opposed to.
26. EliRivers ◴[] No.44540874{5}[source]
Has the mental health of the nation got twice as bad in 2 years? Obviously not.

Assuming that's true, do we know if the new claims are fraudulent, or are they valid claims that people simply didn't claim for before?