Measuring the impact of AI on experienced open-source developer productivity

The OP qualifies how the marketing cycle for this product is beyond extreme, and its own category.

Normal people are being told to worry about AI ending the world, or all jobs disappearing.

Simply saying “the problem is the user”, without acknowledging the degree of hype, and expectation setting, the is irresponsible.

Therefore, classical marketing is less dominant, although more present at down-stream sellers.

Also, I guess you're saying I'm a paid shill, or have otherwise been brainwashed by marketing of the vendors, and therefore my positive experiences with LLMs are a lie? :).

I mean, you probably didn't mean that, but part of my point is that you see those positive reports here on HN too, from real people who've been in this community for a while and are not anonymous Internet users - you can't just dismiss that as "grassroot marketing".

I can appreciate that it’s other users who are saying it’s wrong, but that doesn’t escape the point on ignoring the context.

Moreover, it’s unhelpful communication. Its gives up acknowledging a mutually shared context, the natural confusion that would arise from the ambiguous, high level hype, and the actual down to earth reality.

Even if you have found a way to make it work, having someone understand your workflow can’t happen without connecting the dots between their frame of reference and yours.

That's pretty extreme.

More generally, these execs are talking their book as they're in a low margin capital intensive businesses whose future is entirely dependent on raising a bunch more money, so hype and insane claims are necessary for funding.

Now, maybe they do sortof believe it, but if so, why do they keep hiring software engineers and other staff?

Correct, I think you've read too much into it. Grassroots marketing is not a pejorative term, either. Its strategy is to trigger positive reviews about your product, ideally by independent, credible community members, indeed.

That implies that those community members have motivations other than being paid. Ideologies and shared beliefs can be some of them. Being happy about the product is a prerequisite, whatever that means for the individual user.

> By early 2030, the robot economy has filled up the old SEZs, the new SEZs, and large parts of the ocean. The only place left to go is the human-controlled areas. [...]

> The new decade dawns with Consensus-1’s robot servitors spreading throughout the solar system. By 2035, trillions of tons of planetary material have been launched into space and turned into rings of satellites orbiting the sun. The surface of the Earth has been reshaped into Agent-4’s version of utopia: datacenters, laboratories, particle colliders, and many other wondrous constructions doing enormously successful and impressive research.

This scenario prediction, which is co-authored by a former OpenAI researcher (now at Future of Humanity Institute), received almost 1 thousand upvotes here on HN and the attention of the NYT and other large media outlets.

If you read that and still don't believe the AI hype is _extreme_ then I really don't know what else to tell you.

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https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43571851

No, it's the non-coding managers who vibe-coded a half-working prototype, not other users. And here, the Dunning-Kruger effect is at play - those non-coding types do not understand that AI is not working for them either.

Full disclosure: I do rely on vibe-coded jq lines in one-off scripts that will definitely not process more data after the single intended use, and this is where AI saves my time.

    Позабыты хлопоты,
    Остановлен бег,
    Вкалывают роботы,
    Счастлив человек!

    Worries forgotten,
    The treadmill doesn't run,
    Robots are working,
    Humans have fun!