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256 points toomuchtodo | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.343s | source
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jmyeet ◴[] No.44505485[source]
This will likely come with a one-time significant increase in inflation, at least based on other European countries.

When Germany converted to the Euro, the conversion rate was (IIRC) about ~2 DM to the Euro but from what I recall, a lot of everyday things went from costing 7 DM to 7 euro, effectively doubling in price. IIRC France was similar (ie ~6.5 francs to the Euro but 10 Francs went to 3 euro, etc).

I've tried searching for any studies on this to see if the effect was measured and, if so, whether it held with later countries joining the euro.

I'm a little surprised that the euro has been this stable for this long (going on 30 years). Finland debated leaving. IT's debated if there's even a legal mechanism to leave. We still have the problem that the ECB sets eurozone monetary policy with Germany and Greece being vastly different economies.

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1. toomuchtodo ◴[] No.44506044[source]
The euro and prices: changeover-related inflation and price convergence in the euro area - https://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/pages/publ... (June 2009)