←back to thread

I don't think AGI is right around the corner

(www.dwarkesh.com)
334 points mooreds | 2 comments | 06 Jul 25 20:45 UTC | HN request time: 0.001s | source
Show context
Herring ◴[06 Jul 25 21:31 UTC] No.44484239[source]▶
Apparently 54% of American adults read at or below a sixth-grade level nationwide. I’d say AGI is kinda here already.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Literacy_in_the_United_States

replies(5): >>44484290 #>>44484320 #>>44484335 #>>44484470 #>>44485800 #
yeasku ◴[06 Jul 25 21:39 UTC] No.44484320[source]▶
Does a country failed education system has anything to do with AGI?
replies(3): >>44484353 #>>44484532 #>>44486158 #
Davidzheng ◴[07 Jul 25 02:25 UTC] No.44486158[source]▶
Yes if you measure AGI against median human.
replies(1): >>44486576 #
yeasku ◴[07 Jul 25 03:47 UTC] No.44486576[source]▶
Why do you think a US citizen represents the median human?

Let me guess, you are from USA.

replies(2): >>44486579 #>>44486603 #
decimalenough ◴[07 Jul 25 03:53 UTC] No.44486603[source]▶
The US citizen is probably well above the median human. There are many countries where the education system is abysmal, many people are stunted because of inadequate nutrition, etc.
replies(1): >>44486613 #
1. yeasku ◴[07 Jul 25 03:55 UTC] No.44486613[source]▶
If it is well above it also not a good average human.

What is your point?

replies(1): >>44486770 #
2. decimalenough ◴[07 Jul 25 04:31 UTC] No.44486770[source]▶
That in raw IQ terms LLMs already beat the median human, American or otherwise, and have thus achieved some definitions of "AGI".

That doesn't mean they're capable of completing many human tasks, much less improving themselves, which is generally considered the bar for "real" AGI/super intelligence.