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I don't think AGI is right around the corner

(www.dwarkesh.com)
334 points mooreds | 2 comments | 06 Jul 25 20:45 UTC | HN request time: 0.574s | source
1. datatrashfire ◴[07 Jul 25 02:30 UTC] No.44486191[source]▶
Am I missing something? Predicts AGI through continuous learning in 2032? Feels right around the corner to me.

> But in all the other worlds, even if we stay sober about the current limitations of AI, we have to expect some truly crazy outcomes.

Also expresses the development as a nearly predetermined outcome? A bunch of fanciful handwaving if you ask me.

replies(1): >>44486752 #
2. streptomycin ◴[07 Jul 25 04:27 UTC] No.44486752[source]▶
He's probably mostly thinking about AI 2027 and comparing his predictions to theirs. Since he did a podcast with them a few months ago. Compared to that 2032 is not right around the corner.