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I don't think AGI is right around the corner

(www.dwarkesh.com)
334 points mooreds | 3 comments | 06 Jul 25 20:45 UTC | HN request time: 0.698s | source
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Herring ◴[06 Jul 25 21:31 UTC] No.44484239[source]▶
Apparently 54% of American adults read at or below a sixth-grade level nationwide. I’d say AGI is kinda here already.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Literacy_in_the_United_States

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1. skybrian ◴[07 Jul 25 01:23 UTC] No.44485800[source]▶
From an economics perspective, a more relevant comparison would be to the workers that a business would normally hire to do a particular job.

For example, for a copy-editing job, they probably wouldn't hire people who can't read all that well, and never mind what the national average is. Other jobs require different skills.

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2. Herring ◴[07 Jul 25 02:01 UTC] No.44486023[source]▶
Life is a lot bigger than just economics.

See here for example: https://data.worldhappiness.report/chart

The US economy has never been richer, but overall happiness just keeps dropping. So they vote for populists. Do you think more AI will help?

I think it’s wiser to support improving education.

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3. skybrian ◴[07 Jul 25 02:12 UTC] No.44486085[source]▶
I don’t know whether it will or not. I seems like people are worrying about the economic impact of AI though?