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I don't think AGI is right around the corner

(www.dwarkesh.com)
336 points mooreds | 2 comments | 06 Jul 25 20:45 UTC | HN request time: 0.405s | source
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t-3 ◴[06 Jul 25 21:57 UTC] No.44484463[source]▶
AGI is never coming. It's too hard, too expensive, and there's absolutely no valid usecase. Fulfilling the god-complexes and/or fetishes of tech moguls is not enough to make the effort worth it.
replies(2): >>44484491 #>>44484750 #
1. xboxnolifes ◴[06 Jul 25 22:37 UTC] No.44484750[source]▶
No valid use-case? If AGI at a human level were to exist, and cost less than hiring an equivalent human, it could replace most/all knowledge workers.
replies(1): >>44484953 #
2. t-3 ◴[06 Jul 25 23:05 UTC] No.44484953[source]▶
AGI would need the whole management infrastructure and bureacracy that we use to manage humans. Specially-intelligent rather than generally-intelligent AI would be run-and-done. AGI is the worse option.