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I don't think AGI is right around the corner

(www.dwarkesh.com)
334 points mooreds | 1 comments | 06 Jul 25 20:45 UTC | HN request time: 0.201s | source
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izzydata ◴[06 Jul 25 21:24 UTC] No.44484180[source]▶
Not only do I not think it is right around the corner. I'm not even convinced it is even possible or at the very least I don't think it is possible using conventional computer hardware. I don't think being able to regurgitate information in an understandable form is even an adequate or useful measurement of intelligence. If we ever crack artificial intelligence it's highly possible that in its first form it is of very low intelligence by humans standards, but is truly capable of learning on its own without extra help.
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1. ActorNightly ◴[06 Jul 25 21:30 UTC] No.44484229[source]▶
Exactly. Ive said this from the start.

AGI is being able to simulate reality in high enough accuracy, faster than reality (which includes being able to simulate human brains), which so far doesn't seem to be possible (due to computational irreducebility)