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124 points harambae | 10 comments | | HN request time: 1.397s | source | bottom
1. spencerflem ◴[] No.44462307[source]
I'm convinced that 1. USA is about to experience dramatic inflation 2. US Stock market is an overvalued bubble

Not sure what to keep my retirement fund in if not those though :c

replies(4): >>44462534 #>>44463745 #>>44465426 #>>44465739 #
2. verteu ◴[] No.44462534[source]
VXUS is a reasonable choice given those concerns.
3. mensetmanusman ◴[] No.44463745[source]
The entire world will experience dramatic inflation around 2040 when population decline starts spiraling down the population side of GDP shrinkage.
replies(1): >>44464871 #
4. spencerflem ◴[] No.44464871[source]
Maybe its just because I grew up on rhetoric of population crisis and malthusian collapse but shrinking population is one issue I genuinely can't bring myself to care about.
replies(2): >>44465749 #>>44472632 #
5. verzali ◴[] No.44465426[source]
Gold or other commodities would be the standard asset to go for if you expect dramatic inflation.
6. wqaatwt ◴[] No.44465739[source]
Dramatic inflation = growing stock market (all other things being equal).

Just look how great the Turkish stock market did since 2020. ~14x increase (in local currency)

7. wqaatwt ◴[] No.44465749{3}[source]
Shrinking population as such might not be terribly on an individual perspective.

Aging population and a significant decrease in per capita productivity. Well that’s not great for anyone..

8. mensetmanusman ◴[] No.44472632{3}[source]
The interesting one is which technologies we won’t be able to support because of missing workers in the supply chains.
replies(1): >>44476866 #
9. spencerflem ◴[] No.44476866{4}[source]
I'm much more worried about war or climate change's impact on supply chains.
replies(1): >>44480419 #
10. mensetmanusman ◴[] No.44480419{5}[source]
The world will be too old to go to war I’m guessing.