←back to thread

289 points sandslash | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.659s | source
Show context
jandrewrogers ◴[] No.44452056[source]
I appreciate the video and generally agree with Fei-Fei but I think it almost understates how different the problem of reasoning about the physical world actually is.

Most dynamics of the physical world are sparse, non-linear systems at every level of resolution. Most ways of constructing accurate models mathematically don’t actually work. LLMs, for better or worse, are pretty classic (in an algorithmic information theory sense) sequential induction problems. We’ve known for well over a decade that you cannot cram real-world spatial dynamics into those models. It is a clear impedance mismatch.

There are a bunch of fundamental computer science problems that stand in the way, which I was schooled on in 2006 from the brightest minds in the field. For example, how do you represent arbitrary spatial relationships on computers in a general and scalable way? There are no solutions in the public data structures and algorithms literature. We know that universal solutions can’t exist and that all practical solutions require exotic high-dimensionality computational constructs that human brains will struggle to reason about. This has been the status quo since the 1980s. This particular set of problems is hard for a reason.

I vigorously agree that the ability to reason about spatiotemporal dynamics is critical to general AI. But the computer science required is so different from classical AI research that I don’t expect any pure AI researcher to bridge that gap. The other aspect is that this area of research became highly developed over two decades but is not in the public literature.

One of the big questions I have had since they announced the company, is who on their team is an expert in the dark state-of-the-art computer science with respect to working around these particular problems? They risk running straight into the same deep, layered theory walls that almost everyone else has run into. I can’t identify anyone on the team that is an expert in a relevant area of computer science theory, which makes me skeptical to some extent. It is a nice idea but I don’t get the sense they understand the true nature of the problem.

Nonetheless, I agree that it is important!

replies(24): >>44452139 #>>44452178 #>>44452230 #>>44452351 #>>44452367 #>>44452546 #>>44452772 #>>44453124 #>>44453326 #>>44453374 #>>44453649 #>>44453761 #>>44454793 #>>44454983 #>>44455580 #>>44456088 #>>44456308 #>>44456958 #>>44457201 #>>44457288 #>>44458172 #>>44458959 #>>44460100 #>>44463896 #
machinelearning ◴[] No.44452139[source]
"Most ways of constructing accurate models mathematically don’t actually work" > This is true for almost anything at the limit, we are already able to model spatiotemporal dynamics to some useful degree (see: progress in VLAs, video diffusion, 4D Gaussians)

"We’ve known for well over a decade that you cannot cram real-world spatial dynamics into those models. It is a clear impedance mismatch" > What's the source that this is a physically impossible problem? Not sure what you mean by impedance mismatch but do you mean that it is unsolvable even with better techniques?

Your whole third paragraph could have been said about LLMs and isn't specific enough, so we'll skip that.

I don't really understand the other 2 paragraphs, what's this "dark state-of-the-art computer science" you speak of and what is this "area of research became highly developed over two decades but is not in the public literature" how is "the computer science required is so different from classical AI research"?

replies(1): >>44453568 #
calf ◴[] No.44453568[source]
Above commenter also asserts "highly developed research but no public literature" shrug ...
replies(2): >>44455293 #>>44460901 #
1. jandrewrogers ◴[] No.44460901[source]
It was a national security program that plenty of people are familiar with and has been used across several countries. None of those programs publish.

As much as the literature doesn’t exist, the tech has been used in production for over a decade. That’s just my word of course but a lot of people know. :shrug:

replies(1): >>44468670 #
2. calf ◴[] No.44468670[source]
This is as rhetorically valid as knowing about UFOs, it smells of crackpot science.