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120 points lsharkey602 | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.212s | source
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bachmeier ◴[] No.44423567[source]
Okay. It also coincides with the end of the post-pandemic hiring boom and the UK bank rate going from 0.1% to 5.25%. It's kind of funny that reliable data analysis has never been part of the AI hype when you consider that AI is used for data analysis.
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eru ◴[] No.44423667[source]
> It also coincides with the end of the post-pandemic hiring boom and the UK bank rate going from 0.1% to 5.25%.

I agree that the former is a strong signal. However the latter doesn't tell you anything without further context: did interest rates go up, because the economy was strong, or did rising interest rates dampen the economy?

(It's similar to how you can't tell how hot it is in my apartment, purely from looking at my heating bills: does a low heating bill mean that it's cold in my flat, because I'm too cheap too heat? Or does a low heating bill mean it's summer and really hot anyway?)

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captainbland ◴[] No.44423818[source]
In this case it was widely publicised that interest rates went up to try to bring inflation down (which was significantly above the 2% target).

Growth was weak to unremarkable although the hiring market was good for job seekers at the time shortly before the interest rises were introduced.

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1. eru ◴[] No.44423855[source]
Yes, if you bring in more context interest rates can be enlightening. But by themselves they are almost useless information.