I wonder if the independent studies that show Copilot increasing the rate of errors in software have anything to do with this less bold attitude. Most people selling AI are predicting the obsolescence of human authors.
I wonder if the independent studies that show Copilot increasing the rate of errors in software have anything to do with this less bold attitude. Most people selling AI are predicting the obsolescence of human authors.
Even if code is the right medium for specifying a program, transformers act as an automated interface between that medium and natural language. Modern high-end transformers have no problem producing code, while benefiting from a wealth of knowledge that far surpasses any individual.
> Most people selling AI are predicting the obsolescence of human authors.
It's entirely possible that we do become obsolete for a wide variety of programming domains. That's simply a reality, just as weavers saw massive layoffs in the wake of the automated loom, or scribes lost work after the printing press, or human calculators became pointless after high-precision calculators became commonplace.
This replacement might not happen tomorrow, or next year, or even in the next decade, but it's clear that we are able to build capable models. What remains to be done is R&D around things like hallucinations, accuracy, affordability, etc. as well as tooling and infrastructure built around this new paradigm. But the cat's out of the bag, and we are not returning to a paradigm that doesn't involve intelligent automation in our daily work; programming is literally about automating things and transformers are a massive forward step.
That doesn't really mean anything, though; You can still be as involved in your programming work as you'd like. Whether you can find paid, professional work depends on your domain, skill level and compensation preferences. But you can always program for fun or personal projects, and decide how much or how little automation you use. But I will recommend that you take these tools seriously, and that you aren't too dismissive, or you could find yourself left behind in a rapidly evolving landscape, similarly to the advent of personal computing and the internet.
It is not a reality since it has not happen. In the real world it has not happened.
There is no reason to believe that the current rate of progress will continue. Intelligence is not like the weaving machines. A software engineer is not a human calculator.