Generative AI coding tools and agents do not work for me

Will we be having these conversations for the next decade?

The conversations will climb the ladder and narrow.

Eventually: well, but, the AI coding agent isn't better than a top 10%/5%/1% software developer.

And it'll be that the coding agents can't do narrow X thing better than a top tier specialist at that thing.

The skeptics will forever move the goal posts.

If the AI actually outperforms humans in the full context of the work, then no, we won't. It will be so much cheaper and faster that businesses won't have to argue at all. Those that adopt them will massively outcompetes those that don't.

However, assuming we are still having this conversation, that alone is proof to me that the AI is not that capable. We're several years into "replace all devs in six months." We will have to continue wait and see it try and do.

> If the AI actually outperforms humans in the full context of the work, then no, we won't.

IDEs outperform any “dumb” editor in full context of work. You don’t see any less posts about “I use Vim, btw” (and I say this as Vim user).