The "AI 2027" Scenario: How realistic is it?

I haven't read the actual "AI 2027" yet since I just found out about it from this post, but 2 minutes into the linked blog I started thinking about all of those amazing close-but-no-cigar drawings of the future [0] we've probably all seen.

There's one that I can't find for the life of me, but it was like a business man in a personal flying test tube bubble heading to work, maybe with some kind of wireless phone?

Anyways, the reason I bring it up is that they frequently nailed certain concepts, but the visual was always deeply and irrevocably influenced by what already existed (ex. men wearing hats, ties, overcoats .. or the phone mouthpiece in this [1] vision of a "video call"). In hindsight, we realize that everything truly novel and revolutionary and mindblowingly-different is rarely ever predicted, because we can only know what we know.

I get the feeling that I'll come away from AI 2027 feeling like "yep, they nailed it. That's exactly how it will be!" and then in 3, 5, 10, 20 years look back and go "it was so close, but so far" (much like these postcards and cartoons).

[0] https://rarehistoricalphotos.com/retro-future-predictions/

[1] https://rarehistoricalphotos.com/futuristic-visions-cards-ge...

This is how I feel about Neuralink and pretty much any form of transhumanism as well as humans traveling through space in ships.

It's like imagining flying horses (and flying cars, for that matter).

Hey, neuroscientist here. Just FYI, Neuralink is doing some good stuff around implantation surgeries, but that's really about it. They haven't solved the main issue of glial scarring or how to feed information into tissue long term (at least as far as I know).

As far as the neuroscience field is concerned, no-one is able to solve those issues, and we're ~60% sure you can't solve them, ever. My crazy pet theory is to use optogenetics (stimulate with light, not electrodes) and some multipole magnets for nerve shaping. But, that is a legit crazy theory.

Point is, good people, good work, very crazy boss, very unlikely to make stated goal ever.