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First American pope elected and will be known as Pope Leo XIV

(www.cnn.com)
606 points saikatsg | 2 comments | 08 May 25 16:30 UTC | HN request time: 0.57s | source
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comeonbro ◴[08 May 25 17:44 UTC] No.43928978[source]▶
As a record of how likely people considered this outcome:

Prevost was hovering around 1% on Polymarket, and was <0.5% between white smoke and announcement.

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1. jowea ◴[08 May 25 20:13 UTC] No.43930813[source]▶
Well, seems that conclaves really are notoriously unpredictable
replies(1): >>43934045 #
2. aidenn0 ◴[09 May 25 05:29 UTC] No.43934045[source]▶
At least for recently, it's almost always someone on the short list, but often not near the top of that list.