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606 points saikatsg | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.45s | source
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HughParry ◴[] No.43928873[source]
Posted on the other thread as I thought it was pretty interesting:

>Roughly 0.5% odds on him on polymarket before he was announced

replies(2): >>43928970 #>>43928975 #
1. gkoberger ◴[] No.43928975[source]
EDIT: I was wrong, he was quite down the list! He only appears in the chart because he ultimately won, so higher contenders dropped off.

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He seemed to hover around 1%, which was the second highest behind Tagle (~20%)

https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-pope?tid=1...

replies(1): >>43929032 #
2. fasthands9 ◴[] No.43929032[source]
That link isn't showing most of the options. I believe there were at least 10 above him. Just individually look at the lines for Zuppi, Pizzaballa, Sarah, etc.