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606 points saikatsg | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.557s | source
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HughParry ◴[] No.43928873[source]
Posted on the other thread as I thought it was pretty interesting:

>Roughly 0.5% odds on him on polymarket before he was announced

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1. alexchamberlain ◴[] No.43928970[source]
I don't understand what people were basing that on; the conclave is a completely secret process?
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2. RandomBacon ◴[] No.43929009[source]
The winning lottery numbers are a secret too before they're drawn; people just like to gamble.