Jagged AGI: o3, Gemini 2.5, and everything after

We will have AGI when we have an embodied AI that can do the job of a plumber. It sounds silly, but plumbers need to work in very varied environments, solve physical problems in those environments, while conforming to code, essentially being able to solve problems across mental and physical domains...putting the general into general.

I don’t think it’s necessary for an AI to operate in the physical world to achieve the dystopian-level impact people expect. After all, the most powerful people in the world operate only by talking to other people. An AGI would solve a plumbing problem by finding and hiring the best plumber and telling them what it needs done. And it would use you to be its eyes and verify the job is done. Whether it’s AGI is, to me, a question of who appears to be serving who.