Jagged AGI: o3, Gemini 2.5, and everything after

The capabilities of AI post gpt3 have become extraordinary and clearly in many cases superhuman.

However (as the article admits) there is still no general agreement of what AGI is, or how we (or even if we can) get there from here.

What there is is a growing and often naïve excitement that anticipates it as coming into view, and unfortunately that will be accompanied by the hype-merchants desperate to be first to "call it".

This article seems reasonable in some ways but unfortunately falls into the latter category with its title and sloganeering.

"AGI" in the title of any article should be seen as a cautionary flag. On HN - if anywhere - we need to be on the alert for this.

I suspect AGI will be one of those things that you can't describe it exactly, but you'll know it when you see it.

I suspect everyone will call it a stochastic parrot because it did this one thing not right. And this will continue into the far far future even when it becomes sentient we will completely miss it.

Once it pushed out most humans from white collar labor so the remaining humans work in blue collar jobs people wont say its just a stochastic parrot.