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AGI Is Still 30 Years Away – Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu

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174 points Philpax | 1 comments | 17 Apr 25 16:42 UTC | HN request time: 0.203s | source
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dcchambers ◴[17 Apr 25 17:43 UTC] No.43720006[source]▶
And in 30 years it will be another 30 years away.

LLMs are so incredibly useful and powerful but they will NEVER be AGI. I actually wonder if the success of (and subsequent obsession with) LLMs is putting true AGI further out of reach. All that these AI companies see are the $$$. When the biggest "AI Research Labs" like OpenAI shifted to product-izing their LLM offerings I think the writing was on the wall that they don't actually care about finding AGI.

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coffeefirst ◴[17 Apr 25 20:38 UTC] No.43721975[source]▶
Got it. So this is now a competition between...

1. Fusion power plants 2. AGI 3. Quantum computers 4. Commercially viable cultured meat

May the best "imminent" fantasy tech win!

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1. burnte ◴[17 Apr 25 22:08 UTC] No.43722754[source]▶
Of those 4 I expect commercial cultured meat far sooner than the rest.