AGI Is Still 30 Years Away – Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu

The thing is, AGI is not needed to enable incredible business/societal value, and there is good reason to believe that actual AGI would damage both our society, our economy, and if many experts in the field are to be believed, humanity's survival as well.

So I feel happy that models keep improving, and not worried at all that they're reaching an asymptote.

Really the only people for whom this is bad news is OpenAI and their investors. If there is no AGI race to win then OpenAI is just a wildly overvalued vendor of a hot commodity in a crowded market, not the best current shot at building a money printing machine.