←back to thread

AGI Is Still 30 Years Away – Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu

(www.dwarkesh.com)
174 points Philpax | 1 comments | 17 Apr 25 16:42 UTC | HN request time: 0.208s | source
Show context
xnx ◴[17 Apr 25 17:53 UTC] No.43720164[source]▶
I'll take the "under" on 30 years. Demis Hassabis (who has more credibility than whoever these 3 people are combined) says 5-10 years: https://time.com/7277608/demis-hassabis-interview-time100-20...
replies(2): >>43720736 #>>43721087 #
1. candiddevmike ◴[17 Apr 25 19:27 UTC] No.43721087[source]▶
We will never have the required compute by then.