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174 points Philpax | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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EliRivers ◴[] No.43719892[source]
Would we even recognise it if it arrived? We'd recognise human level intelligence, probably, but that's specialised. What would general intelligence even look like.
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Tuna-Fish ◴[] No.43720153[source]
If/when we will have AGI, we will likely have something fundamentally superhuman very soon after, and that will be very recognizable.

This is the idea of "hard takeoff" -- because the way we can scale computation, there will only ever be a very short time when the AI will be roughly human-level. Even if there are no fundamental breakthroughs, the very least silicon can be ran much faster than meat, and instead of compensating narrower width execution speed like current AI systems do (no AI datacenter is even close to the width of a human brain), you can just spend the money to make your AI system 2x wider and run it at 2x the speed. What would a good engineer (or, a good team of engineers) be able to accomplish if they could have 10 times the workdays in a week that everyone else has?

This is often conflated with the idea that AGI is very imminent. I don't think we are particularly close to that yet. But I do think that if we ever get there, things will get very weird very quickly.

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1. EliRivers ◴[] No.43720304[source]
Would AGI be recognisable to us? When a human pushes over an anthill, what do the ants think happened? Do they even know the anthill is gone; did they have concept of the anthill as a huge edifice, or did they only know earth to squeeze through and some biological instinct.

If general intelligence arrived and did whatever general intelligence would do, would we even see it? Or would there just be things that happened that we just can't comprehend?