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AGI Is Still 30 Years Away – Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu

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174 points Philpax | 8 comments | 17 Apr 25 16:42 UTC | HN request time: 1.103s | source | bottom
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EliRivers ◴[17 Apr 25 17:33 UTC] No.43719892[source]▶
Would we even recognise it if it arrived? We'd recognise human level intelligence, probably, but that's specialised. What would general intelligence even look like.
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shmatt ◴[17 Apr 25 17:39 UTC] No.43719970[source]▶
We sort of are able to recognize Nobel-worthy breakthroughs

One of the many definitions I have for AGI is being able to create the proofs for the 2030, 2050, 2100, etc Nobel Prizes, today

A sillier one I like is that AGI would output a correct proof that P ≠ NP on day 1

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1. tough ◴[17 Apr 25 17:40 UTC] No.43719982[source]▶
Isn't AGI just "general" intelligence as in -like a regular human- turing test kinda deal?

aren't you thinking about ASI/ Superintelligence way capable of outdoing humans?

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2. kadushka ◴[17 Apr 25 17:44 UTC] No.43720028[source]▶
Yes, a general consensus is AGI should be able to perform any task an average human is able to perform. Definitely nothing of Nobel prize level.
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3. EliRivers ◴[17 Apr 25 17:46 UTC] No.43720059[source]▶
A bit poorly named; not really very general. AHI would be a better name.
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4. aleph_minus_one ◴[17 Apr 25 17:47 UTC] No.43720067[source]▶
> Yes, a general consensus is AGI should be able to perform any task an average human is able to perform.

The goalposts are regularly moved so that AI companies and their investors can claim/hype that AGI will be around in a few years. :-)

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5. kadushka ◴[17 Apr 25 17:51 UTC] No.43720136{3}[source]▶
Another general consensus is that humans possess general intelligence.
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6. kadushka ◴[17 Apr 25 17:56 UTC] No.43720193{3}[source]▶
I learned the definition I provided back in mid 90s, and it hasn't really changed since then.
7. EliRivers ◴[17 Apr 25 17:58 UTC] No.43720211{4}[source]▶
Yes, we do seem to have a very high opinion of ourselves.
8. timeon ◴[17 Apr 25 19:58 UTC] No.43721488{3}[source]▶
AAI would be enough for me, although there are people who deny intelligence of non-human animals.