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AI as Normal Technology

(knightcolumbia.org)
237 points randomwalker | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0.001s | source
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xpe ◴[] No.43717165[source]
> The statement “AI is normal technology” is three things: a description of current AI, a prediction about the foreseeable future of AI, and a prescription about how we should treat it.

A question for the author(s), at least one of whom is participating in the discussion (thanks!): Why try to lump together description, prediction, and prescription under the "normal" adjective?

Discussing AI is fraught. My claim: conflating those three under the "normal" label seems likely to backfire and lead to unnecessary confusion. Why not instead keep these separate?

My main objection is this: it locks in a narrative that tries to neatly fuse description, prediction, and prescription. I recoil at this; it feels like an unnecessary coupling. Better to remain fluid and not lock in a narrative. The field is changing so fast, making description by itself very challenging. Predictions should update on new information, including how we frame the problem and our evolving values.

A little bit about my POV in case it gives useful context: I've found the authors (Narayanan and Kapoor) to be quite level-headed and sane w.r.t. AI discussions, unlike many others. I'll mention Gary Marcus as one counterexample; I find it hard to pin Marcus down on the actual form of his arguments or concrete predictions. His pieces often feel like rants without a clear underlying logical backbone (at least in the year or so I've read his work).

replies(2): >>43718651 #>>43720435 #
1. mr_toad ◴[] No.43718651[source]
Statistically prediction and description are two sides of the same coin. Even a simple average is both.
replies(1): >>43719084 #
2. xpe ◴[] No.43719084[source]
> Statistically prediction and description are two sides of the same coin. Even a simple average is both.

I'll restate your comment in my language in the hopes of making it clearer. First, the mean is a descriptive statistic. Second, it is possible to build a very simple predictive model using the mean (over observed data).

Ok, but I don't see how this applies to my comment above. Are you disagreeing with some part of my comment?

You're using a metaphor "two sides of the same coin"... what is the coin here? How does it connect with my points above?