What Is Entropy?

One thing that helped me was the realization that, at least as used in the context of information theory, entropy is a property of an individual (typically the person receiving a message) and NOT purely of the system or message itself.

> entropy quantifies uncertainty

This sums it up. Uncertainty is the property of a person and not a system/message. That uncertainty is a function of both a person's model of a system/message and their prior observations.

You and I may have different entropies about the content of the same message. If we're calculating the entropy of dice rolls (where the outcome is the 'message'), and I know the dice are loaded but you don't, my entropy will be lower than yours.

Not true. The uncertainty of the dice rolls is not controlled by you. It is the property of the loaded dice itself.

Here's a better way to put it. If I roll the dice infinite times. The uncertainty of the outcome of the dice will become evident in the distribution of the outcomes of the dice. Whether you or another person is certain or uncertain of this does not indicate anything.

Now when you realize this you'll start to think about this thing in probability called frequentists vs. bayesian and you'll realize that all entropy is, is a consequence of probability and that the philosophical debate in probability applies to entropy as well because they are one and the same.

I think the word "entropy" confuses people into thinking it's some other thing when really it's just probability at work.

Probability is subjective though, because macrostates are subjective.

The notion of probability relies on the notion of repeatability: if you repeat a coin flip infinite times, what proportion of outcomes will be heads, etc. But if you actually repeated the toss exactly the same way every time, say with a finely-tuned coin-flipping machine in a perfectly still environment, you would always get the same result.

We say that a regular human flipping a coin is a single macrostate that represents infinite microstates (the distribution of trajectories and spins you could potentially impart on the coin). But who decides that? Some subjective observer. Another finely tuned machine could conceivably detect the exact trajectory and spin of the coin as it leaves your thumb and predict with perfect accuracy what the outcome will be. According to that machine, you're not repeating anything. You're doing a new thing every time.

Probability is a bunch of numbers that add to 1. Sometimes you can use this to represent subjective beliefs. Sometimes you can use it to represent objectively existing probability distributions. For example, an LLM is a probability distribution on a following token given previous tokens. If two "observers" disagree about an LLM's probability assigned to some token, then only at most one of them can be correct. So the probability is objective.