Which countries would benefit most from an American brain drain?

Article is built on false premises. Notably citing: "in 2022-24, by our calculations, 20m well-educated people wanted to move there, compared with 14m who preferred Canada (which has a much smaller population). "

Two things: "wanted" and "actively doing so" are worlds apart. Additionally, other countries have about the same or even more complicated immigration rules.

The USA are safe from brain drain. And I'm saying that as a one living in Canada with close friends at McGill University - students still see the USA a primary destination of their interest.

There's a lot of people who threaten they will move to Canada. Far fewer actually follow through

Five frogs are sitting on a log. Four decide to jump off. How many frogs are left on the log?

It's almost impossible to get residency in Canada, short of marriage and for most US citizens.

If you are a French speaking PhD in a preferred industry who is under 29 years old, you may be gtg.

>It's almost impossible to get residency in Canada

How does that square with the fact that 1/5 of the Canadian population were born abroad? Seems plenty are able to move there.

Diploma mils in particular:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/provinces-cracking-down-on-pr...

> The USA are safe from brain drain. And I'm saying that as a one living in Canada ... I am saying as one living in US that it is not. I personally know some brilliant engineers who are in a dilemma because of the uncertainities that lies ahead.

I'm paraphrasing my experience in using the Canadian government's own points calculator for residency.

That doesn't meant that there aren't special programs apart from that. Because I'm not of the demographic, I didn't dig into how a Chinese, Indian, or African student or family, for example, might qualify for residency under whatever qualifications. Last, I assume that there's been a significant amount of refugee resettlement.

But if you are an average person from the US, you may be boxed into the standard calculations.

> The USA are safe from brain drain.

We’re three months into this administration. I wouldn’t make any pronouncements yet.

> Well, there you have to look at the history: you have to ask, how has the history of Canada been different from the history of the United States? And there have been a lot of differences. For instance, one difference had to do with the American Revolution—in the American Revolution, a large number of people fled to Canada, lots in fact. And a lot of them fled because they didn’t like the doctrinaire, kind of fanatic environment that took hold in the colonies. The percentage of colonists who fled in the American Revolution was actually about 4 percent, it was probably higher than the percentage of Vietnamese who fled Vietnam after the Vietnam War. And remember, they were fleeing from one of the richest places in the world—these were boat-people who fled in terror from Boston Harbor in the middle of winter to Nova Scotia, where they died in the snow trying to get away from all of these crazies here. The numbers are supposed to have been in the neighborhood of maybe a hundred thousand out of a total population of about two and a half million—so it was a substantial part of the population. And among them were people from groups who knew they were going to get it in the neck if the colonists won—blacks and Native Americans, for example.[70] And they were right: in the case of the Native Americans, it was genocide; in the case of blacks, it was slavery.

> [70]: On the number of colonists who fled the American Revolution, see for example, Carl Van Doren, Secret History of the American Revolution, New York: Viking, 1941. [... ...]

A.N. Chomsky, Understanding Power