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689 points taubek | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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rayiner ◴[] No.43632822[source]
Americans need to get over their view of “Asia” as being about making shoes. When I was working in engineering in the early aughts, we mocked the Chinese as being able only to copy American technology. Today, China is competitive with or ahead of America in key technology areas, including nuclear power, AI, EVs, and batteries.

We need to anticipate a future where China is equal to America on a per capita basis, but four times bigger. Is that a world where “Designed by Apple in California, Made in China” still makes sense? What will be America’s competitive edge in that scenario?

What seems most likely to me in the future is that the US will find itself in the same position the UK is in now. Dominating finance and services won’t mean anything when both the IP and the physical products are being produced somewhere else.

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bpt3 ◴[] No.43633029[source]
Their population is declining, and they are a long way away from parity with the west on a per-capita basis. I think China missed their opportunity.

Also, the UK hasn't dominated finance for a century and has never been dominant in services, so it doesn't seem like an apt comparison.

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ttoinou ◴[] No.43633712[source]
But look at per capita per purchasing power
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1. DrillShopper ◴[] No.43635459{3}[source]
Per capita purchasing power will decrease rapidly in the US if USD stops being the world's preferred reserve currency.

China's per capita purchasing power will increase rapidly if RMB becomes the world's preferred reserve currency.

Trump seems to be doing everything to speed up the former and as a result is also speeding up the latter.