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689 points taubek | 2 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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rayiner ◴[] No.43632822[source]
Americans need to get over their view of “Asia” as being about making shoes. When I was working in engineering in the early aughts, we mocked the Chinese as being able only to copy American technology. Today, China is competitive with or ahead of America in key technology areas, including nuclear power, AI, EVs, and batteries.

We need to anticipate a future where China is equal to America on a per capita basis, but four times bigger. Is that a world where “Designed by Apple in California, Made in China” still makes sense? What will be America’s competitive edge in that scenario?

What seems most likely to me in the future is that the US will find itself in the same position the UK is in now. Dominating finance and services won’t mean anything when both the IP and the physical products are being produced somewhere else.

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bpt3 ◴[] No.43633029[source]
Their population is declining, and they are a long way away from parity with the west on a per-capita basis. I think China missed their opportunity.

Also, the UK hasn't dominated finance for a century and has never been dominant in services, so it doesn't seem like an apt comparison.

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1. throwacct ◴[] No.43633827[source]
This 100x. This is the time to go all in and truly shake everything from the ground up. If the US moves at least 25% to the continent, it could solve lots of issues by developing manufacturing for critical products in-house and nearshoring the rest to LATAM, helping reduce illegal immigration considerably. Win-win for the whole continent.
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2. goatlover ◴[] No.43634874[source]
It will be more expensive for the consumer who will have been busy paying the tariff sales tax to get to that point. There's a reason businesses moved industry overseas.