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157 points Helmut10001 | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0s | source
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Shekelphile ◴[] No.43593684[source]
My pet theory is that we are only a few decades away from turning earth into venus 2.0 at this point. It feels like we keep finding new catastrophic tipping points every few months at this point.

It is worth mentioning that we are already in the last few hundred million years of earth's lifespan -- the sun was much dimmer last time the planet had this much GHG and warming going on. We may have already set the conditions for the oceans to boil away and the heat death of our planet without massive geoengineering.

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banqjls ◴[] No.43593708[source]
> My pet theory is that we are only a few decades away from turning earth into venus 2.0 at this point. It feels like we keep finding new catastrophic tipping points every few months at this point.

Given that the glaciers should’ve all melted by now, and that we can’t even predict with certainty whether it will rain tomorrow, I wouldn’t pay much attention to predictions.

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1. hkpack ◴[] No.43593835[source]
> we can’t even predict with certainty whether it will rain tomorrow

It is very similar to the birthday paradox - it is an order of magnitude easier to predict average weather, than the exact weather at a specific time.

Despite that, we care about the former for our long term survival, and for the latter on whether to put on a rain coat today.