AI 2027

Late 2025, "its PhD-level knowledge of every field". I just don't think you're going to get there. There is still a fundamental limitation that you can only be as good as the sources you train on. "PhD-level" is not included in this dataset: in other words, you don't become PhD-level by reading stuff.

Maybe in a few fields, maybe a masters level. But unless we come up with some way to have LLMs actually do original research, peer-review itself, and defend a thesis, it's not going to get to PhD-level.

> Late 2025, "its PhD-level knowledge of every field". I just don't think you're going to get there.

You think too much of PhDs. They are different. Some of them are just repackaging of existing knowledge. Some are just copy-paste like famous Putin's. Not sure he even rad, to be honest.

I’m pretty sure a PhD wouldn’t confidently hallucinate configuration parameters that don’t exist like my AI coding tool does.

A PhD also wouldn’t be biased toward agreeing with me all the time.