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AI 2027

(ai-2027.com)
949 points Tenoke | 1 comments | | HN request time: 0.201s | source
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IshKebab ◴[] No.43572994[source]
This is hilariously over-optimistic on the timescales. Like on this timeline we'll have a Mars colony in 10 years, immortality drugs in 15 and Half Life 3 in 20.
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ctoth ◴[] No.43573359[source]
Can you share your detailed projection of what you expect the future to look like so I can compare?
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IshKebab ◴[] No.43574278[source]
Sure

5 years: AI coding assistants are a lot better than they are now, but still can't actually replace junior engineers (at least ones that aren't shit). AI fraud is rampant, with faked audio commonplace. Some companies try replacing call centres with AI, but it doesn't really work and everyone hates it.

Tesla's robotaxi won't be available, but Waymo will be in most major US cities.

10 years: AI assistants are now useful enough that you can use them in the ways that Apple and Google really wanted you to use Siri/Google Assistant 5 years ago. "What have I got scheduled for today?" will give useful results, and you'll be able to have a natural conversation and take actions that you trust ("cancel my 10am meeting; tell them I'm sick").

AI coding assistants are now very good and everyone will use them. Junior devs will still exist. Vibe coding will actually work.

Most AI Startups will have gone bust, leaving only a few players.

Art-based AI will be very popular and artists will use it all the time. It will be part of their normal workflow.

Waymo will become available in Europe.

Some receptionists and PAs have been replaced by AI.

15 years: AI researchers finally discover how to do on-line learning.

Humanoid robots are robust and smart enough to survive in the real world and start to be deployed in controlled environments (e.g. factories) doing simple tasks.

Driverless cars are "normal" but not owned by individuals and driverful cars are still way more common.

Small light computers become fast enough that autonomous slaughter it's become reality (i.e. drones that can do their own navigation and face recognition etc.)

20 years: Valve confirms no Half Life 3.

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1. WXLCKNO ◴[] No.43586490[source]
So in the past 5 years we went from not having ChatGPT at all and it being released in 2022 (with non "chat" models before that) but in the next 5 now that the entire tech world is consumed with making better AI models, we'll just get slightly better AI coding assistants?

Reminds me of that comment about the first iPod being lame and having less space than a nomad. Worst take I've ever seen on here recently.