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949 points Tenoke | 1 comments | 03 Apr 25 16:13 UTC | HN request time: 0.222s | source

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beklein ◴[03 Apr 25 17:12 UTC] No.43572674[source]▶

Older and related article from one of the authors titled "What 2026 looks like", that is holding up very well against time. Written in mid 2021 (pre ChatGPT)

https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/6Xgy6CAf2jqHhynHL/what-...

//edit: remove the referral tags from URL

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motoxpro ◴[03 Apr 25 17:36 UTC] No.43572964[source]▶

>>43572674 #

That's incredible how much it broadly aligns with what has happened. Especially because it was before ChatGPT.

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1. FairlyInvolved ◴[03 Apr 25 23:30 UTC] No.43576710[source]▶

>>43572964 #

There's a pretty good summary of how well it has held up here, by the significance of each claim:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/u9Kr97di29CkMvjaj/evaluating...

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