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AI 2027

(ai-2027.com)
949 points Tenoke | 2 comments | 03 Apr 25 16:13 UTC | HN request time: 0s | source
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ahofmann ◴[03 Apr 25 17:04 UTC] No.43572563[source]▶
Ok, I'll bite. I predict that everything in this article is horse manure. AGI will not happen. LLMs will be tools, that can automate away stuff, like today and they will get slightly, or quite a bit better at it. That will be all. See you in two years, I'm excited what will be the truth.
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mitthrowaway2 ◴[03 Apr 25 17:22 UTC] No.43572802[source]▶
What's an example of an intellectual task that you don't think AI will be capable of by 2027?
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coolThingsFirst ◴[03 Apr 25 17:25 UTC] No.43572831[source]▶
programming
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1. mitthrowaway2 ◴[03 Apr 25 17:47 UTC] No.43573079[source]▶
Can you phrase this in a concrete way, so that in 2027 we can all agree whether it's true or false, rather than circling a "no true scotsman" argument?
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2. abecedarius ◴[03 Apr 25 20:56 UTC] No.43575304[source]▶
Good question. I tried to phrase a concrete-enough prediction 3.5 years ago, for 5 years out at the time: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29020401

It was surpassed around the beginning of this year, so you'll need to come up with a new one for 2027. Note that the other opinions in that older HN thread almost all expected less.